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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Joe Burrow Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's line suggests a running game script for the Bengals, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • Opposing teams have rushed for the 6th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (135 per game) vs. the Miami Dolphins defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 3rd-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 37.6% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bengals are predicted by the projection model to call just 61.2 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.
  • In this week's contest, Joe Burrow is projected by the projections to earn the 7th-fewest rush attempts out of all QBs with 2.5.
  • Joe Burrow's 2.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season reflects a remarkable decline in his rushing skills over last season's 12.0 figure.
  • Joe Burrow's ground efficiency has diminished this season, averaging a mere 1.89 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 6.49 mark last season.

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