Joe Burrow Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Joe Burrow

NFL · Player Props

Joe Burrow

QB · Cincinnati Bengals

Rushing Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 15, 2024

Updated Dec 16, 2024 12:41 AM UTC

Analysis

Joe Burrow Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bengals are a 6-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a running game script.
The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
Joe Burrow's 6.10 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year reflects a meaningful improvement in his rushing ability over last year's 5.11 mark.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Bengals as the 3rd-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 37.0% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 128.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans defense owns the 7th-best efficiency against opposing run games this year, surrendering just 4.24 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Tennessee's collection of DTs has been outstanding this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in the league.

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