Joe Burrow Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

My Account Log Out

reorder

Joe Burrow

NFL · Player Props

Joe Burrow

QB · Cincinnati Bengals

Passing Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 17, 2025

Updated Dec 29, 2025 3:57 AM EST

Analysis

Joe Burrow Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 265.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 273.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 265.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 61.5% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Bengals are projected by our trusted projection set to run 67.2 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-highest number among all teams this week.
The leading projections forecast Joe Burrow to throw 39.2 passes in this week's game, on average: the 2nd-most among all quarterbacks.
As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Arizona's group of safeties has been very bad this year, ranking as the 5th-worst in the NFL.

Favors Under

This game's spread suggests an extreme rushing game script for the Bengals, who are a massive favorite by 7 points.
Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) usually mean decreased passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased run volume.
The Cincinnati O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Joe Burrow's 201.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year represents a remarkable diminishment in his passing prowess over last year's 297.0 rate.
Joe Burrow's 67.6% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a meaningful decline in his throwing precision over last season's 71.6% mark.

More Joe Burrow Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow