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Joe Burrow Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals

Joe Burrow Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 256.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 256.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 256.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bengals to pass on 62.5% of their plays: the 5th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.

The projections expect Joe Burrow to throw 36.1 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 9th-most among all quarterbacks.

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 3rd-highest rate in the league vs. the Dolphins defense this year (74.6% Adjusted Completion%).

The Miami defensive ends profile as the worst group of DEs in the NFL this year in regard to pass rush.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line suggests a running game script for the Bengals, who are favored by 3 points.

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bengals are predicted by the projection model to call just 61.4 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.

Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Miami Dolphins, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 31.1 per game) this year.

As it relates to pocket protection (and the impact it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Bengals ranks as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year.

Joe Burrow has thrown for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (181.0) this season than he did last season (297.0).

More Joe Burrow Player Props

Joe Burrow Passing YardsPlayer Prop Week 16

Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals

Joe Burrow Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 16