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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals

Joe Burrow Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 265.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 265.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 265.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 64.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 5th-most plays run among all games this week at 130.1 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect Joe Burrow to throw 39.0 passes in this contest, on average: the most among all quarterbacks.

Joe Burrow checks in as one of the best passers in football last year, averaging an exceptional 297.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 100th percentile.

Joe Burrow profiles as one of the most accurate QBs in the league last year with a remarkable 71.6% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 94th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Bengals being a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

Opposing QBs have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense last year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.

The Cincinnati offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL last year in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.

Last year, the strong Browns defense has surrendered a puny 67.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 5th-lowest rate in the league.

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