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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Joe Burrow Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 252.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 256.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 252.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 62.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • In this week's game, Joe Burrow is projected by the predictive model to wind up with the 8th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 36.5.
  • Joe Burrow is positioned as one of the leading passers in football this year, averaging an impressive 257.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 87th percentile.
  • Joe Burrow's passing precision has been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 67.2% to 71.9%.
  • Joe Burrow's 7.66 adjusted yards-per-target this season illustrates a significant growth in his passing effectiveness over last season's 6.6% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 5.5-point advantage, the Bengals are favored in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical game plan.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.04 seconds per snap.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.
  • This year, the formidable Browns defense has conceded a meager 209.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 9th-fewest in football.
  • This year, the daunting Browns defense has yielded a measly 60.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 2nd-smallest rate in the NFL.

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