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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Arizona Cardinals vs Cincinnati Bengals

Joe Burrow Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 255.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Bengals as the 2nd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 65.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The model projects Joe Burrow to throw 37.8 passes this week, on average: the 3rd-most out of all QBs.

This year, the anemic Cardinals defense has surrendered a colossal 271.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing teams: the 5th-worst in football.

This year, the weak Cardinals defense has surrendered the most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing teams: a colossal 8.96 yards.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bengals are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cincinnati Bengals are projected by the model to call just 61.2 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-fewest among all teams this week.

The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 10th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 55.8 plays per game.

The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all air attack statistics across the board.

Joe Burrow has thrown for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (188.0) this season than he did last season (289.0).

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