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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 18

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

Joe Burrow Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 8th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 61.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Joe Burrow has attempted 38.6 throws per game this year, checking in at the 86th percentile among QBs.

The Baltimore Ravens have stacked the box against opponents on 18.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bengals are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Cincinnati Bengals have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in football). This deadens the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.

The Cincinnati Bengals have risked going for it on 4th down just 15.7% of the time since the start of last season (7th-least in the NFL), which typically means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.

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