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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 15

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Joe Burrow Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-135/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 10th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 62.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Bengals to run the 3rd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 68.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Joe Burrow to attempt 39.0 passes in this week's game, on average: the 6th-most of all QBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 10th-least in the league.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in football). This deadens the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have elected to go for it on 4th down just 15.7% of the time since the start of last season (6th-least in the NFL), which usually means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.

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