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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow Interceptions
Player Prop Week 16

Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Joe Burrow Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-109/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bengals to pass on 62.4% of their plays: the 3rd-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The projections expect Joe Burrow to throw 35.9 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 9th-most among all quarterbacks.
  • In averaging a staggering 0.63 interceptions per game this year, Joe Burrow stands among the bottom quarterbacks in the league (0th percentile).
  • The Miami Dolphins have intercepted 0.49 throws per game this year, grading out as the 7th-worst defense in the league by this stat
  • The Miami defensive ends profile as the worst group of DEs in the NFL this year in regard to pass rush.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line suggests a running game script for the Bengals, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bengals are predicted by the projection model to call just 61.2 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Miami Dolphins, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 31.1 per game) this year.
  • As it relates to pocket protection (and the impact it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Bengals ranks as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year.

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