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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow Interceptions
Player Prop Week 1

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals

Joe Burrow Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 64.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 5th-most plays run among all games this week at 130.1 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect Joe Burrow to throw 39.0 passes in this contest, on average: the most among all quarterbacks.

The Cleveland Browns have intercepted 0.22 throws per game last year, grading out as the worst defense in the NFL by this stat

As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Cleveland's collection of CBs has been easily exploitable last year, grading out as the 5th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Bengals being a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

Opposing QBs have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense last year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.

The Cincinnati offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL last year in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.

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