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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow Completions
Player Prop Week 18

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Joe Burrow Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 61.4% of their plays: the 5th-highest rate on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to call the 10th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.9 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually lead to increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume.
  • In this week's contest, Joe Burrow is forecasted by the model to have the 4th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 37.4.
  • Joe Burrow has been one of the most on-target passers in the NFL this year with an impressive 68.7% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 81st percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Bengals being a massive -8.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense this year: 4th-fewest in football.
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Cleveland's unit has been phenomenal this year, profiling as the 5th-best in the league.

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