Joe Burrow Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Joe Burrow

NFL · Player Props

Joe Burrow

QB · Cincinnati Bengals

Carries

Kansas City Chiefs vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 2, 2024

Updated Sep 15, 2024 8:11 PM EST

Analysis

Joe Burrow Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect Joe Burrow to be much more involved in his offense's run game this week (16.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (10.6% in games he has played).

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 4-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bengals to run on 33.8% of their chances: the lowest clip on the slate this week.
The projections expect this game to see the 5th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Bengals have called the 6th-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 56.4 plays per game.
The Kansas City defensive tackles project as the 4th-best DT corps in football since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

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