Joe Burrow Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Joe Burrow

NFL · Player Props

Joe Burrow

QB · Cincinnati Bengals

Carries

San Francisco 49ers vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 7:31 PM EST

Analysis

Joe Burrow Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast Joe Burrow to be a much bigger part of his offense's ground game in this week's contest (12.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (4.8% in games he has played).

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 5.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals as the least run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 31.9% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Bengals are forecasted by the model to run just 60.1 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.
This week, Joe Burrow is predicted by the projections to earn the 5th-fewest rush attempts out of all quarterbacks with 2.4.
The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in the league last year at opening holes for runners.

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