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J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Houston Texans vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
J.K. Dobbins Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+182/-205).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 6th-most pass-oriented team in football near the goal line (60.0% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Denver Broncos.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see 135.5 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The Denver Broncos offensive line ranks as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing offense stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • J.K. Dobbins has been been lightly used his team's passing offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which puts him in the 1st percentile among RBs.
  • J.K. Dobbins has totaled a paltry -4.0 air yards per game this year: just 15th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • J.K. Dobbins's 6.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 13.9.
  • J.K. Dobbins's sure-handedness have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 89.3% to 73.6%.
  • J.K. Dobbins grades out in the 1st percentile among RBs when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a lowly 0.00 per game.

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