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J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Denver Broncos vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
J.K. Dobbins Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-104/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -101 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -104.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to be the 6th-most pass-focused team in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 60.0% red zone pass rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.2 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 8th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Denver Broncos this year (a massive 60.3 per game on average).
  • The Cowboys defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (37.9 per game) this year.
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Broncos profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Broncos are a 4-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • The model projects the Broncos as the 9th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 56.2% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • J.K. Dobbins has been has not been looked to very often his team's pass game near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which places him in the 1st percentile among running backs.
  • When it comes to air yards, J.K. Dobbins ranks in just the 12th percentile among running backs this year, totaling just -5.0 per game.
  • J.K. Dobbins's 5.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 13.9.

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