My Account Log Out

reorder

J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Philadelphia Eagles vs Denver Broncos

J.K. Dobbins Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+164/-200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -188 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -200.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Broncos are a 4-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Denver Broncos to pass on 60.0% of their chances: the 8th-highest clip on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast the Broncos to be the 6th-most pass-heavy team in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 58.7% red zone pass rate.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see 129.0 offensive plays called: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.

Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically prompt increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower rush volume.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

When talking about air yards, J.K. Dobbins grades out in the lowly 19th percentile among running backs this year, accruing just -5.0 per game.

J.K. Dobbins's 6.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 13.9.

J.K. Dobbins's receiving reliability have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 89.4% to 67.8%.

J.K. Dobbins ranks in the 1st percentile among RBs as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging just 0.00 per game.

With a terrific rate of 0.60 rushing touchdowns per game (94th percentile), J.K. Dobbins has been among the best rushing TD-scorers in the league this year.

More J.K. Dobbins Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™