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J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

Denver Broncos vs Cincinnati Bengals

J.K. Dobbins Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-124/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -124.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Denver Broncos to be the 7th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 58.2% red zone pass rate.

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are projected by the projections to run 66.0 plays on offense in this contest: the 4th-most on the slate this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Bengals defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the NFL.

The predictive model expects J.K. Dobbins to be a much smaller part of his team's running game near the end zone in this contest (49.9% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (72.7% in games he has played).

While J.K. Dobbins has accounted for 0.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much more involved in Denver's offense near the goal line in this week's game at 7.3%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Broncos being a massive 7.5-point favorite this week.

The model projects the Denver Broncos to be the 9th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 55.3% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

When it comes to air yards, J.K. Dobbins grades out in the measly 5th percentile among running backs since the start of last season, accruing just -4.0 per game.

J.K. Dobbins's 63.4% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects a noteworthy decline in his receiving ability over last year's 89.4% figure.

With a lousy rate of just 0.00 per game through the air (1st percentile), J.K. Dobbins rates as one of the worst receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL among RBs this year.

More J.K. Dobbins Player Props

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