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J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

J.K. Dobbins Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+150/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +142 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Broncos as the 9th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 59.4% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the 7th-most pass-focused team in football near the goal line (58.5% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Denver Broncos.

The Denver Broncos offense has played at the 8th-quickest tempo in football (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 27.54 seconds per play.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may decline.

With an elite 8.8% Red Zone Target% (80th percentile) since the start of last season, J.K. Dobbins places as one of the pass-catching RBs with the highest volume near the goal line in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all RBs, J.K. Dobbins grades out in the 84th percentile for red zone rush attempts since the start of last season, comprising 49.2% of the volume in his team's rushing attack near the end zone.

When talking about air yards, J.K. Dobbins grades out in the measly 8th percentile among running backs since the start of last season, totaling just -3.0 per game.

With a very bad ratio of just 0.00 per game through the air (1st percentile), J.K. Dobbins ranks as one of the bottom receiving TD-scorers in football when it comes to RBs since the start of last season.

With an impressive rate of 0.73 rushing touchdowns per game (92nd percentile), J.K. Dobbins has been as one of the leading rushing touchdown-scorers in the league since the start of last season.

The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has yielded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (75.6%) vs. RBs since the start of last season (75.6%).

More J.K. Dobbins Player Props

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