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J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
J.K. Dobbins Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-111/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 51.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 50.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Denver Broncos offense has played at the 8th-quickest tempo in football (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 27.54 seconds per play.
  • In this week's game, J.K. Dobbins is projected by the projection model to secure a spot in the 76th percentile when it comes to RBs with 13.0 carries.
  • J.K. Dobbins has received 57.7% of his team's run game usage this year, placing him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • J.K. Dobbins has picked up 71.0 adjusted rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the highest figures in the NFL among running backs (92nd percentile).
  • With a remarkable rate of 5.09 adjusted yards per carry (81st percentile), J.K. Dobbins places among the top pure runners in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Denver Broncos to run on 40.6% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may decline.
  • The Chargers defensive tackles rank as the 4th-best group of DTs in the league since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

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