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J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Indianapolis Colts vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
J.K. Dobbins Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (-110/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 50.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 47.5 @ -109.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Broncos offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.12 seconds per snap.
  • The model projects J.K. Dobbins to earn 12.2 carries in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 75th percentile among running backs.
  • J.K. Dobbins has earned 54.5% of his offense's run game usage since the start of last season, placing him in the 86th percentile among RBs.
  • J.K. Dobbins has picked up 69.0 adjusted rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the largest marks in the league among running backs (92nd percentile).
  • With an impressive record of 4.61 adjusted yards per carry (76th percentile), J.K. Dobbins stands as one of the best pure runners in the league since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Denver Broncos to be the 8th-least run-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 37.6% run rate.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.

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