J.K. Dobbins Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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J.K. Dobbins

NFL · Player Props

J.K. Dobbins

RB · Baltimore Ravens

Rushing Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 8, 2023 1:31 PM UTC

Analysis

J.K. Dobbins Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 65.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 55.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 8th-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 46.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects J.K. Dobbins to notch 14.5 carries this week, on average, ranking him in the 84th percentile among RBs.
J.K. Dobbins has been given 44.2% of his offense's carries this year, placing him in the 80th percentile among running backs.
J.K. Dobbins has averaged 63.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest figures in football among RBs (85th percentile).
J.K. Dobbins's running efficiency (5.51 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL this year (92nd percentile among running backs).

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Ravens to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have run for the 5th-least yards in the league (just 99 per game) against the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year.
The Cincinnati Bengals safeties grade out as the 7th-best unit in the league this year in regard to run defense.

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