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J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
J.K. Dobbins Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 65.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 55.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 8th-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 46.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects J.K. Dobbins to notch 14.5 carries this week, on average, ranking him in the 84th percentile among RBs.
  • J.K. Dobbins has been given 44.2% of his offense's carries this year, placing him in the 80th percentile among running backs.
  • J.K. Dobbins has averaged 63.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest figures in football among RBs (85th percentile).
  • J.K. Dobbins's running efficiency (5.51 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL this year (92nd percentile among running backs).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Ravens to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing offenses have run for the 5th-least yards in the league (just 99 per game) against the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals safeties grade out as the 7th-best unit in the league this year in regard to run defense.

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