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J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Houston Texans vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
J.K. Dobbins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+200/-250).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -213 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -250.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in football (62.6% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Denver Broncos.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see 135.5 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The Denver Broncos offensive line ranks as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing offense stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • J.K. Dobbins has been less involved as a potential target this season (32.7% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (46.2%).
  • J.K. Dobbins's 1.0 adjusted receptions per game this year indicates a significant drop-off in his pass-catching ability over last year's 2.5 rate.
  • J.K. Dobbins's sure-handedness have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 89.3% to 73.6%.
  • The Houston Texans pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (70.5%) versus running backs this year (70.5%).
  • The Houston Texans linebackers grade out as the 7th-best LB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

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