My Account Log Out
 
 
J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Denver Broncos vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
J.K. Dobbins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +175 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.2 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 8th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Denver Broncos this year (a massive 60.3 per game on average).
  • The Cowboys defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (37.9 per game) this year.
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Broncos profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.
  • When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Dallas's safety corps has been easily exploitable this year, grading out as the 4th-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Broncos are a 4-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • The model projects the Broncos as the 9th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 56.2% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • J.K. Dobbins's 5.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 13.9.
  • J.K. Dobbins's receiving skills have tailed off this season, compiling just 0.9 adjusted catches vs 2.5 last season.
  • J.K. Dobbins's 68.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this season indicates a significant reduction in his receiving skills over last season's 89.3% rate.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™