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J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Philadelphia Eagles vs Denver Broncos

J.K. Dobbins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+130/-175).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Broncos are a 4-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Denver Broncos to pass on 60.0% of their chances: the 8th-highest clip on the slate this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see 129.0 offensive plays called: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.

Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically prompt increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower rush volume.

As it relates to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Denver Broncos ranks as the best in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

J.K. Dobbins's 36.0% Route% this year indicates a meaningful decline in his pass attack workload over last year's 46.2% mark.

J.K. Dobbins's 0.9 adjusted catches per game this season represents a material drop-off in his pass-catching talent over last season's 2.5 rate.

J.K. Dobbins's receiving reliability have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 89.4% to 67.8%.

More J.K. Dobbins Player Props

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