My Account Log Out

reorder

J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Denver Broncos vs Cincinnati Bengals

J.K. Dobbins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+210/-285).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +260 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +210.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are projected by the projections to run 66.0 plays on offense in this contest: the 4th-most on the slate this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Bengals defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the NFL.

With a high 44.9% Route Participation Rate (76th percentile) since the start of last season, J.K. Dobbins rates as one of the pass-catching running backs with the most usage in football.

As it relates to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Broncos grades out as the best in the NFL since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season, the porous Bengals pass defense has conceded a whopping 92.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the worst rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Broncos being a massive 7.5-point favorite this week.

The model projects the Denver Broncos to be the 9th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 55.3% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

J.K. Dobbins's 1.0 adjusted catches per game this year conveys a noteable decrease in his receiving talent over last year's 2.5 mark.

J.K. Dobbins's 63.4% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects a noteworthy decline in his receiving ability over last year's 89.4% figure.

As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Cincinnati's safety corps has been outstanding since the start of last season, profiling as the 9th-best in football.

More J.K. Dobbins Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™