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J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

J.K. Dobbins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-170/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +135 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Broncos as the 9th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 59.4% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The Denver Broncos offense has played at the 8th-quickest tempo in football (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 27.54 seconds per play.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may decline.

With a sizeable 9.4% Target Share (75th percentile) since the start of last season, J.K. Dobbins places as one of the pass-catching RBs with the most usage in the NFL.

The Denver Broncos O-line ranks as the best in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has yielded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (75.6%) vs. RBs since the start of last season (75.6%).

The Los Angeles Chargers safeties grade out as the best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

More J.K. Dobbins Player Props

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