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J.K. Dobbins Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Denver Broncos vs Tennessee Titans

J.K. Dobbins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-156/+122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +132 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With an extraordinary 9.2% Target Share (75th percentile) last year, J.K. Dobbins places as one of the pass-catching running backs with the biggest workloads in the NFL.

The Broncos O-line profiles as the best in football last year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

J.K. Dobbins grades out as one of the top pass-game RBs last year, averaging an excellent 2.5 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 77th percentile.

With an exceptional 89.5% Adjusted Catch% (76th percentile) last year, J.K. Dobbins stands among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread suggests an extreme running game script for the Broncos, who are a massive favorite by 8 points.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Broncos to pass on 53.4% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.

The projections expect this game to see the 3rd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 125.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses teams have been wary to pass too much against the Tennessee Titans, totaling the fewest attempts in football (a measly 26.9 per game) last year.

The Titans linebackers grade out as the 8th-best collection of LBs in football last year in defending pass-catchers.

More J.K. Dobbins Player Props

J.K. Dobbins ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 1

Denver Broncos vs Tennessee Titans

J.K. Dobbins Receptions
Player Prop Week 1