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J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Houston Texans vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
J.K. Dobbins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+215/-330).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -300 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -330.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in football (62.6% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Denver Broncos.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see 135.5 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The Denver Broncos offensive line ranks as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing offense stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • J.K. Dobbins has been less involved as a potential target this season (32.7% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (46.2%).
  • J.K. Dobbins has totaled a paltry -4.0 air yards per game this year: just 15th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • J.K. Dobbins has put up substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (3.0) this season than he did last season (12.0).
  • J.K. Dobbins's sure-handedness have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 89.3% to 73.6%.
  • J.K. Dobbins's 2.5 adjusted yards per target this year reflects a significant regression in his receiving talent over last year's 4.4 figure.

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