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J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Philadelphia Eagles vs Denver Broncos

J.K. Dobbins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+210/-285).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -250 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -285.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Broncos are a 4-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Denver Broncos to pass on 60.0% of their chances: the 8th-highest clip on the slate this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see 129.0 offensive plays called: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.

Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically prompt increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower rush volume.

As it relates to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Denver Broncos ranks as the best in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

J.K. Dobbins's 36.0% Route% this year indicates a meaningful decline in his pass attack workload over last year's 46.2% mark.

When talking about air yards, J.K. Dobbins grades out in the lowly 19th percentile among running backs this year, accruing just -5.0 per game.

J.K. Dobbins's 4.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year represents a significant drop-off in his pass-catching talent over last year's 12.0 figure.

J.K. Dobbins's receiving reliability have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 89.4% to 67.8%.

J.K. Dobbins's 2.6 adjusted yards per target this season reflects a remarkable reduction in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 4.4 mark.

More J.K. Dobbins Player Props

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