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J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Indianapolis Colts vs Denver Broncos

J.K. Dobbins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (62.4% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Denver Broncos.

The leading projections forecast the Broncos offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.12 seconds per snap.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.

With an extraordinary 9.5% Target Share (78th percentile) since the start of last season, J.K. Dobbins has been as one of the pass-catching RBs with the biggest workloads in football.

The Denver offensive line ranks as the best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

J.K. Dobbins has notched a feeble -3.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 10th percentile when it comes to RBs.

J.K. Dobbins has been one of the least effective receivers in the NFL among running backs, averaging a lowly 4.27 adjusted yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 5th percentile.

With a feeble 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (3rd percentile) since the start of last season, J.K. Dobbins rates as one of the leading RB receiving threats in the league in space.

The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has displayed strong efficiency vs. running backs since the start of last season, conceding 5.85 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-fewest in football.

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