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J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Denver Broncos vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
J.K. Dobbins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With an extraordinary 9.2% Target Share (75th percentile) last year, J.K. Dobbins places as one of the pass-catching running backs with the biggest workloads in the NFL.
  • The Broncos O-line profiles as the best in football last year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • With an exceptional 89.5% Adjusted Catch% (76th percentile) last year, J.K. Dobbins stands among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread suggests an extreme running game script for the Broncos, who are a massive favorite by 8 points.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Broncos to pass on 53.4% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect this game to see the 3rd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 125.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been wary to pass too much against the Tennessee Titans, totaling the fewest attempts in football (a measly 26.9 per game) last year.
  • In regards to air yards, J.K. Dobbins ranks in the measly 8th percentile among RBs last year, averaging just -3.0 per game.

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