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J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins Carries
Player Prop Week 3

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
J.K. Dobbins Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-130/+112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -148 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ +112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Denver Broncos offense has played at the 8th-quickest tempo in football (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 27.54 seconds per play.
  • In this week's game, J.K. Dobbins is projected by the projection model to secure a spot in the 76th percentile when it comes to RBs with 13.0 carries.
  • J.K. Dobbins has received 57.7% of his team's run game usage this year, placing him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Denver Broncos to run on 40.6% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may decline.
  • The Chargers defensive tackles rank as the 4th-best group of DTs in the league since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

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