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J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins Carries
Player Prop Week 10

Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
J.K. Dobbins Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+113/-144).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -144.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 9-point advantage, the Broncos are a massive favorite this week, indicating much more of a reliance on running than their normal game plan.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are projected by the projection model to call 66.5 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast J.K. Dobbins to total 18.2 rush attempts in this game, on average, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.
  • Out of all RBs, J.K. Dobbins grades out in the 88th percentile for rush attempts this year, comprising 59.9% of the workload in his offense's running game.
  • As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Las Vegas's unit has been awful this year, grading out as the 5th-worst in the league. in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 6th-least run-centric team in the NFL (37.1% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Broncos.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being projected in this game) generally cause increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.

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