J.K. Dobbins Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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J.K. Dobbins

NFL · Player Props

J.K. Dobbins

RB · Baltimore Ravens

Carries

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 10, 2022 12:05 AM UTC

Analysis

J.K. Dobbins Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Ravens are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects J.K. Dobbins to accrue 13.5 carries in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 77th percentile among RBs.
J.K. Dobbins has garnered 42.6% of his offense's carries this year, putting him in the 75th percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 9th-least run-oriented offense in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 36.5% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run out of all the games this week at 122.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens have run the 3rd-least plays in football this year, averaging a mere 52.2 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line profiles as the 6th-worst in the league this year at blocking for rushers.

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