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J.J. McCarthy

J.J. McCarthy TD Passes
Player Prop Week 2

Minnesota Vikings vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
J.J. McCarthy TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+117/-119).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -124 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -119.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Vikings to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 59.8% red zone pass rate.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are anticipated by our trusted projection set to call 65.1 total plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
  • The Falcons defense has been a well-known pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (33.9 per game) since the start of last season.
  • Since the start of last season, the shaky Falcons defense has yielded a monstrous 72.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 9th-biggest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3.5-point advantage, the Vikings are favored in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on running than their normal game plan.
  • The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Minnesota Vikings since the start of last season (a measly 56.0 per game on average).
  • The Atlanta defensive tackles project as the 8th-best DT corps in football since the start of last season in regard to pass rush.

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