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J.J. McCarthy TD Passes
Player Prop Week 18

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers

J.J. McCarthy TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+140/-190).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +190 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 2nd-most pass-heavy team in football in the red zone (62.8% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Minnesota Vikings.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 10th-most in the league.

This year, the deficient Green Bay Packers defense has allowed a whopping 72.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 9th-highest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line suggests a running game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 6.5 points.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Vikings to pass on 54.3% of their opportunities: the 10th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to have just 122.9 plays on offense called: the fewest on the slate this week.

The lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Vikings this year (a measly 51.0 per game on average).

The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the 3rd-best safety corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

More J.J. McCarthy Player Props

J.J. McCarthy TD PassesPlayer Prop Week 18

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers

J.J. McCarthy TD Passes
Player Prop Week 18