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J.J. McCarthy

J.J. McCarthy Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
J.J. McCarthy Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -116.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's line suggests a running game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • The model projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 11th-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 42.5% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to have just 122.9 plays on offense called: the fewest on the slate this week.
  • The lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Vikings this year (a measly 51.0 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Green Bay Packers defense has had the 10th-best efficiency against opposing ground games this year, allowing just 4.21 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
  • When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Green Bay's collection of DEs has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in football.

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