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J.J. McCarthy

J.J. McCarthy Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
J.J. McCarthy Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-112/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to see 131.8 offensive plays called: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • The Bears defense has produced the 6th-worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, allowing 5.25 adjusted yards-per-carry.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 7th-least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 40.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The 9th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Minnesota Vikings this year (a measly 53.4 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Chicago's LB corps has been tremendous this year, projecting as the best in the NFL.

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