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J.J. McCarthy Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings

J.J. McCarthy Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.4 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

Minnesota's passing stats last year may be artificially too high (and rushing stats decreased) due to playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league. We ought to be able to count on some correction with windier weather in this week's contest.

Opposing teams have rushed for the most adjusted yards in football (141 per game) versus the Bears defense last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to run on 42.5% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

As it relates to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Chicago's safety corps has been exceptional last year, projecting as the best in the NFL.

More J.J. McCarthy Player Props

J.J. McCarthy Rushing YardsPlayer Prop Week 1

Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings

J.J. McCarthy Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1