reorder

J.J. McCarthy Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings

J.J. McCarthy Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 214.5 (-101/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 206.5 @ -170 before it was bet up to 214.5 @ -101.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Vikings being a heavy -9.5-point underdog this week.

The projections expect the Vikings to be the 2nd-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 63.5% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Vikings are predicted by the model to run just 62.2 total plays in this game: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.

The 10th-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Vikings this year (a measly 53.3 per game on average).

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 6th-lowest rate in the league vs. the Lions defense this year (66.5% Adjusted Completion%).

The Detroit Lions pass defense has shown strong efficiency this year, conceding 6.99 adjusted yards-per-target: the 6th-fewest in football.

The Detroit Lions safeties profile as the 3rd-best group of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.

More J.J. McCarthy Player Props

J.J. McCarthy Passing YardsPlayer Prop Week 9

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings

J.J. McCarthy Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 9