My Account Log Out
 
 
J.J. McCarthy

J.J. McCarthy Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
J.J. McCarthy Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 212.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 220.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 212.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.4 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Bears pass defense has displayed poor efficiency last year, yielding 8.30 adjusted yards-per-target: the most in the NFL.
  • Last year, the shaky Chicago Bears defense has been torched for the most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing offenses: a colossal 5.93 YAC.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 57.5% of their chances: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Minnesota's passing stats last year may be artificially too high (and rushing stats decreased) due to playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league. We ought to be able to count on some correction with windier weather in this week's contest.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Chicago Bears, averaging the fewest attempts in football (just 30.6 per game) last year.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Chicago's unit has been very good last year, profiling as the 3rd-best in football.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™