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J.J. McCarthy

J.J. McCarthy Completions
Player Prop Week 18

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
J.J. McCarthy Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 10th-most in the league.
  • This year, the deficient Green Bay Packers defense has allowed a whopping 72.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 9th-highest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line suggests a running game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Vikings to pass on 54.3% of their opportunities: the 10th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to have just 122.9 plays on offense called: the fewest on the slate this week.
  • The lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Vikings this year (a measly 51.0 per game on average).
  • The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the 3rd-best safety corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

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