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J.J. McCarthy

J.J. McCarthy Completions
Player Prop Week 10

Minnesota Vikings vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
J.J. McCarthy Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-101/-126).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -126.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Vikings, who are -4.5-point underdogs.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Vikings to pass on 62.2% of their plays: the 2nd-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 8th-highest level in football against the Ravens defense this year (74.2% Adjusted Completion%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Vikings to be the 3rd-slowest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 29.50 seconds per play.
  • The Ravens safeties rank as the 5th-best safety corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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