Jimmy Garoppolo Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Jimmy Garoppolo

NFL · Player Props

Jimmy Garoppolo

QB · San Francisco 49ers

Rushing Yards

Carolina Panthers vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM EST

Analysis

Jimmy Garoppolo Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 49ers are a 6-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 5th-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 46.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing teams have run for the 9th-most yards in the NFL (134 per game) versus the Carolina Panthers defense this year.
The San Francisco 49ers have used some form of misdirection on 68.6% of their play-calls since the start of last season (most in the NFL), which can make an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-least plays run among all games this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Jimmy Garoppolo has averaged a mere 1.5 carries per game since the start of last season, one of the lowest rates in the NFL among quarterbacks (25th percentile).
The San Francisco 49ers O-line grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year in run blocking.
Jimmy Garoppolo has averaged just 2.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the smallest marks in the league among QBs (8th percentile).

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