Jimmy Garoppolo Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Jimmy Garoppolo

NFL · Player Props

Jimmy Garoppolo

QB · San Francisco 49ers

Rushing Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 4, 2022 12:10 AM UTC

Analysis

Jimmy Garoppolo Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 6th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 45.6% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers offensive line ranks as the 10th-best in the league since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
The Los Angeles Rams have stacked the box versus opponents on just 5.9% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the league. Choosing not to keep an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
The San Francisco 49ers have used some form of misdirection on 68.6% of their play-calls since the start of last season (most in the league), which usually makes an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers have called the least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a measly 57.0 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Jimmy Garoppolo to notch 2.5 rush attempts in this contest, on average: the least of all QBs.
Jimmy Garoppolo has averaged a mere 2.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the smallest marks in the NFL among QBs (5th percentile).
Jimmy Garoppolo's running effectiveness (1.15 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL since the start of last season (3rd percentile among quarterbacks).

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