My Account Log Out
 
 
Jimmy Garoppolo

Jimmy Garoppolo Carries
Player Prop Week 5

Las Vegas Raiders vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Jimmy Garoppolo Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jimmy Garoppolo has been a more integral piece of his offense's run game this year (14.5% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (6.2%).
  • The Raiders O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in the NFL last year at opening holes for runners.
  • As it relates to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Green Bay's unit has been awful this year, grading out as the worst in football. in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Raiders as the 5th-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 39.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to have only 123.6 offensive plays run: the fewest among all games this week.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have called the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 51.8 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The leading projections forecast Jimmy Garoppolo to accrue 3.2 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average: the fewest among all QBs.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™