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Jerry Jeudy Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

New England Patriots vs Cleveland Browns

Jerry Jeudy Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+400/-485).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -385 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -485.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Browns are enormous underdogs in this game, implying much more of a focus on throwing than their typical approach.

Our trusted projections expect the Browns offense to be the 3rd-quickest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 26.70 seconds per play.

Jerry Jeudy has been in the 84th percentile for WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive usage) with an astounding 57.1 figure this year.

This year, the deficient New England Patriots defense has been torched for a staggering 76.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 4th-worst rate in the NFL.

The opposing side have run for the 3rd-fewest touchdowns in the league (0.43 per game) versus the Patriots defense this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Browns to be the 7th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.9% pass rate.

Jerry Jeudy has notched quite a few less air yards this season (89.0 per game) than he did last season (95.0 per game).

When it comes to pass protection (and the ramifications it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Browns grades out as the worst in the league this year.

Jerry Jeudy's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 63.9% to 46.1%.

Jerry Jeudy grades out in the 1st percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a mere 0.00 per game.

More Jerry Jeudy Player Props

Jerry Jeudy TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 8

New England Patriots vs Cleveland Browns

Jerry Jeudy Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8