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Jerry Jeudy

Jerry Jeudy Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7

Cleveland Browns vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Jerry Jeudy Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+230/-350).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +265 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +230.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 2nd-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Cleveland Browns.
  • While Jerry Jeudy has earned 15.2% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a much bigger part of Cleveland's passing offense near the goal line in this week's contest at 22.8%.
  • Jerry Jeudy has notched a colossal 98.0 air yards per game this year: 94th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • Jerry Jeudy has been in the 84th percentile when it comes to wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) with a colossal 56.7 mark this year.
  • This year, the poor Dolphins defense has given up a monstrous 79.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 2nd-worst rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Browns as the 4th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 52.2% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Dolphins, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.2 per game) this year.
  • As it relates to pocket protection (and the impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Cleveland Browns ranks as the worst in the league this year.
  • Jerry Jeudy's 45.9% Adjusted Completion Rate this year shows a remarkable decline in his receiving skills over last year's 63.9% rate.

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