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Jerry Jeudy

Jerry Jeudy Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Cleveland Browns vs Minnesota Vikings

Jerry Jeudy Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+360/-490).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -375 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -490.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs this week, implying more of a focus on passing than their normal game plan.

The predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns offense to be the 6th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 27.22 seconds per play.

The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.

The model projects Jerry Jeudy to be a much bigger part of his offense's pass game near the goal line this week (19.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (6.2% in games he has played).

After totaling 95.0 air yards per game last year, Jerry Jeudy has produced significantly more this year, now sitting at 106.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in football (62.6% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Browns.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Vikings, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 27.2 per game) this year.

As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Cleveland Browns ranks as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year.

Jerry Jeudy's 45.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this year indicates a meaningful diminishment in his receiving ability over last year's 63.9% mark.

Jerry Jeudy does not have any receiving TDs this year.

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